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churchward last won the day on December 27 2019

churchward had the most liked content!

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About churchward

  • Birthday 11/04/1958

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    NB Lady Moonlight & SB Idris
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  1. The issue is that if we all do not do our part and say in, stay away from others and limit the spread of the virus it is possible to the get to the scenario where the NHS is overloaded. By this I mean with too many cases and not enough beds. staff or equipment etc. the doctors (not government) will have to choose who has the best chance of recovery/responding to the assistance respirators etc. give. This is not about sinister plots by governments or mandarins in the NHS or any other kind of conspiracy theory just the reality of a scenario where the virus gets out of control and doctors have to make the impossible choices. Calm down and worry about what you can effect not what you cannot.
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  3. Yes. Germany is a little behind the UK in what seems to be the normal (?) time sequence of the virus and do seem to be on the up curve. I do not know why but Westphalia seems to be the hotspot. France may be a bit of an oddity just now as they have just started to include deaths in places like care homes in the stats in the last few days. So it may take a few more to see what is happening. Spain looks like it may be about to flatten out as Italy did but it is not good news just yet and given Spain (46 million) is a smaller population than Italy (60 million) is having a rough time to say the least. The USA is worrying one would expect larger numbers as they are a much bigger country but when you look at New York state is about a 3rd of the cases with a population of 20million it is really quite bad.
  4. In fact it will if the R0 is below 1 but if it does not stay below 1 then it will increase again or rather the R0 value will not be below 1 because infections have increased. It is just a factor of infection rate.
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  6. Loo rolls Yeast Dry pasta rice It is getting better though and got some loo rolls this week.
  7. That's true and I do not mind Soda bread from time to time it makes a nice change and great with soup but I do prefer Bread made with yeast on the whole. Although you can cut it down to basics soda bread is often made with more ingredients like butter milk (or some kind of milk) and bi-carbonate of soda and cream of tartar (in substitute of butter-milk). But it does have the advantage of being quite a quick bread to prepare no real kneading or proving time before baking.
  8. Promising news is still coming from Italy today with their update. Latest Updates April 4 (GMT) 4805 new cases and 681 new deaths in Italy. The number of patients hospitalized in intensive care has declined for the first time since the beginning of the epidemic in Italy The target of bringing down the reproductive number (R0) to 1 has been reached. Now the goal is to bring it below 1. Earlier in the epidemic, it was as high as 3. This value represents the average number of people to which a single infected person will transmit the virus. An epidemic with a reproductive number below 1 will gradually disappear An estimated 30,000 lives have been saved as an effect of the lockdown measures, according to Istituto Superiore di Sanità (ISS) [source] [source]
  9. I cannot agree. Whether someone has died from Covid-19 and that was all that was wrong with them or they had other issues and Covid-19 took advantage of a weakened individual and finished them off does not really matter. They are still dead and both would not have done at that moment if it was not for Covid-19. Covid-19 is killing people and of course the weaker among us get picked off more easily. Muddying the water by saying we need this number or that number or we cannot know what's actually happening need to wake up to what is happening around them now. People are dying who should not be if it wasn't for the virus and it is happening over a short period of time and in addition to normal levels of morbidity. The virus does not care what stats we do or do not have it will carry on infecting people and killing some. Take the example of the Scottish care home where 13 people have died. This has happened in a short period. We cannot tell just now if they all had Covid-19 (some care worker staff in the home have tested positive) but think in more normal times what the outrage would be if over 14% of people in a sizable care home died more or less at once rather then the normal trickle?
  10. Yeast is in short supply in the shops. I have enough flour but not enough dried yeast longer term. Wild east and sourdough yeast can be made with flour and water or indeed seeded with a little dried yeast or scraps of apple skin or other fruit skins. https://www.weedemandreap.com/wild-yeast-starter/ https://www.homemadefoodjunkie.com/how-to-make-wild-sourdough-starter/ https://www.thekitchn.com/how-to-make-your-own-sourdough-starter-cooking-lessons-from-the-kitchn-47337
  11. Yes indeed. Let's hope the UK is starting to level out and the isolation is working. Italy too is starting to get under control and hopefully Spain is perhaps starting that trend too. We need morsels of hope.
  12. I think he does have house in Wales but you will not find many in Wales (especially in North Wales) who refer of him as the Prince of wales. People use the term Prince Charles.
  13. I think it doesn't really matter too much what she says. For those that the speech will be significant for the contents are potentially less important than the fact she is addressing them. Rather like when the Royals visit a hospital after a disaster or similar it is the fact they have visited that helps not what they said when they were there. Those that do not appreciate that she is the head of state or gain any comfort from the gesture whatever she says they won't like it.
  14. I agree. Using solvents to clean the filter risks contaminating the clean side of the filter and since most spin on filters have a paper element it could start to damage the paper medium anyway. Better to change the oil leaving the filter untouched. If worried about it the oil and filter can be changed again when you can get one but earlier then normal. However, I doubt it will make a lot or any difference.
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